Football Prediction: Port Vale vs Northampton

Port Vale vs Northampton

H2H, Stats & Predictions

Venue: Vale Park

1.34
L L W D L W

SCHEDULED -

0.77

L D L W L D

Kick Off: 04-10-2025 16:00 h. Mathematical Predictions: Under 2.5 DRAW

Port Vale and Northampton face each other in the England League One match on Saturday 4th of October 2025. In the last five head-to-head matches the home team scored average of 1.00 goals, while the away team scored average of 0.00 goals. See the full head-to-head statistics in the table below.

In the last 10 matches Port Vale have scored an average of 1.27 goals and conceded average of 1.27 goals while Northampton scored 1.04 goals and conceded 1.76 goals.

Poisson distribution algorithm

We use Poisson distribution algorithm that expresses the probability of a given number of goals (2.5) occurring in football matches. The formula takes the expected average number of goals for home and away team, and calculates percentage probability of the prediction on the website.

Most probable outcome for Port Vale vs Northampton is:

Under 2.5 goals with a probability of 64.56%

Head to Head Record - Port Vale vs. Northampton

Date	Competition	Match
10-01-2026	England League One 2025	Northampton	- (HT -)	Port Vale
04-10-2025	England League One 2025	Port Vale	- (HT -)	Northampton
01-04-2024	England League One 2023	Northampton	2-0 (HT 1-0)	Port Vale
16-09-2023	England League One 2023	Port Vale	1-0 (HT 0-0)	Northampton

Competition		Date
England League One		10-01-2026
Northampton	- (HT -)	Port Vale
England League One		04-10-2025
Port Vale	- (HT -)	Northampton
England League One		01-04-2024
Northampton	2-0 (HT 1-0)	Port Vale
England League One		16-09-2023
Port Vale	1-0 (HT 0-0)	Northampton