Football Prediction: Exeter City vs Luton

Exeter City vs Luton

H2H, Stats & Predictions

Venue: James Park Stadium

1.31
L W L W L L

SCHEDULED -

0.74

W L W L L W

Kick Off: 01-01-2026 16:00 h. Mathematical Predictions: Under 2.5 DRAW

Exeter City and Luton face each other in the England League One match on Thursday 1st of January 2026. In the last five head-to-head matches the home team scored average of 1.00 goals, while the away team scored average of 0.00 goals. See the full head-to-head statistics in the table below.

In the last 10 matches Exeter City have scored an average of 1.35 goals and conceded average of 1.35 goals while Luton scored 1.01 goals and conceded 1.59 goals.

Poisson distribution algorithm

We use Poisson distribution algorithm that expresses the probability of a given number of goals (2.5) occurring in football matches. The formula takes the expected average number of goals for home and away team, and calculates percentage probability of the prediction on the website.

Most probable outcome for Exeter City vs Luton is:

Under 2.5 goals with a probability of 66.18%

Head to Head Record - Exeter City vs. Luton

Date	Competition	Match
17-03-2026	England League One 2025	Luton	- (HT -)	Exeter City
01-01-2026	England League One 2025	Exeter City	- (HT -)	Luton
26-09-2023	England League Cup 2023	Exeter City	1-0 (HT 0-0)	Luton

Competition		Date
England League One		17-03-2026
Luton	- (HT -)	Exeter City
England League One		01-01-2026
Exeter City	- (HT -)	Luton
England League Cup		26-09-2023
Exeter City	1-0 (HT 0-0)	Luton