Football Prediction: Plymouth vs Burton Albion

Plymouth vs Burton Albion

H2H, Stats & Predictions

Venue: Stadio Cinque Pini

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Kick Off: 04-01-2026 16:00 h. Mathematical Predictions: Under 2.5 Home WIN

Plymouth and Burton Albion face each other in the England League One match on Sunday 4th of January 2026. In the last five head-to-head matches the home team scored average of 1.50 goals, while the away team scored average of 0.50 goals. See the full head-to-head statistics in the table below.

In the last 10 matches Plymouth have scored an average of 1.74 goals and conceded average of 1.74 goals while Burton Albion scored 0.89 goals and conceded 1.61 goals.

Poisson distribution algorithm

We use Poisson distribution algorithm that expresses the probability of a given number of goals (2.5) occurring in football matches. The formula takes the expected average number of goals for home and away team, and calculates percentage probability of the prediction on the website.

Most probable outcome for Plymouth vs Burton Albion is:

Under 2.5 goals with a probability of 100.00%

Head to Head Record - Plymouth vs. Burton Albion

Date	Competition	Match
04-01-2026	England League One 2025	Plymouth	- (HT -)	Burton Albion
27-09-2025	England League One 2025	Burton Albion	- (HT -)	Plymouth
29-04-2023	England League One 2022	Plymouth	1-0 (HT 1-0)	Burton Albion
19-11-2022	England League One 2022	Burton Albion	2-2 (HT 1-0)	Plymouth
09-04-2022	England League One 2021	Burton Albion	0-0 (HT 0-0)	Plymouth
09-10-2021	England League One 2021	Plymouth	2-1 (HT 2-0)	Burton Albion

Competition		Date
England League One		04-01-2026
Plymouth	- (HT -)	Burton Albion
England League One		27-09-2025
Burton Albion	- (HT -)	Plymouth
England League One		29-04-2023
Plymouth	1-0 (HT 1-0)	Burton Albion
England League One		19-11-2022
Burton Albion	2-2 (HT 1-0)	Plymouth
England League One		09-04-2022
Burton Albion	0-0 (HT 0-0)	Plymouth
England League One		09-10-2021
Plymouth	2-1 (HT 2-0)	Burton Albion