Football Prediction: AC Milan vs Bari

AC Milan vs Bari

H2H, Stats & Predictions

Venue: San Siro

1.31
W L L W W W

SCHEDULED -

0.99

D L W L L W

Kick Off: 17-08-2025 21:15 h. Mathematical Predictions: Under 2.5 DRAW

AC Milan and Bari face each other in the Italy Coppa Italia match on Sunday 17th of August 2025. In the last five head-to-head matches the home team scored average of 1.00 goals, while the away team scored average of 1.00 goals. See the full head-to-head statistics in the table below.

In the last 10 matches AC Milan have scored an average of 1.70 goals and conceded average of 1.70 goals while Bari scored 1.05 goals and conceded 1.24 goals.

Poisson distribution algorithm

We use Poisson distribution algorithm that expresses the probability of a given number of goals (2.5) occurring in football matches. The formula takes the expected average number of goals for home and away team, and calculates percentage probability of the prediction on the website.

Most probable outcome for AC Milan vs Bari is:

Under 2.5 goals with a probability of 59.49%

Head to Head Record - AC Milan vs. Bari

Date	Competition	Match
17-08-2025	Italy Coppa Italia 2025	AC Milan	- (HT -)	Bari
13-03-2011	Italy Serie A 2010	AC Milan	1-1 (HT 0-1)	Bari
07-11-2010	Italy Serie A 2010	Bari	2-3 (HT 0-2)	AC Milan

Competition		Date
Italy Coppa Italia		17-08-2025
AC Milan	- (HT -)	Bari
Italy Serie A		13-03-2011
AC Milan	1-1 (HT 0-1)	Bari
Italy Serie A		07-11-2010
Bari	2-3 (HT 0-2)	AC Milan