Football Prediction: Parma vs Spezia

Parma vs Spezia

H2H, Stats & Predictions

Venue: Stadio Ennio Tardini

2.02
L W W D L L

SCHEDULED -

1.66

L D L D W W

Kick Off: 24-09-2025 17:00 h. Mathematical Predictions: Over 2.5 Home WIN

Parma and Spezia face each other in the Italy Coppa Italia match on Wednesday 24th of September 2025. In the last five head-to-head matches the home team scored average of 2.00 goals, while the away team scored average of 1.00 goals. See the full head-to-head statistics in the table below.

In the last 10 matches Parma have scored an average of 1.30 goals and conceded average of 1.30 goals while Spezia scored 1.07 goals and conceded 1.67 goals.

Poisson distribution algorithm

We use Poisson distribution algorithm that expresses the probability of a given number of goals (2.5) occurring in football matches. The formula takes the expected average number of goals for home and away team, and calculates percentage probability of the prediction on the website.

Most probable outcome for Parma vs Spezia is:

Over 2.5 goals with a probability of 50.10%

Head to Head Record - Parma vs. Spezia

Date	Competition	Match
24-09-2025	Italy Coppa Italia 2025	Parma	- (HT -)	Spezia
13-04-2024	Italy Serie B 2023	Parma	2-0 (HT 1-0)	Spezia
02-12-2023	Italy Serie B 2023	Spezia	0-1 (HT 0-0)	Parma
27-02-2021	Italy Serie A 2020	Spezia	2-2 (HT 0-2)	Parma
25-10-2020	Italy Serie A 2020	Parma	2-2 (HT 1-2)	Spezia

Competition		Date
Italy Coppa Italia		24-09-2025
Parma	- (HT -)	Spezia
Italy Serie B		13-04-2024
Parma	2-0 (HT 1-0)	Spezia
Italy Serie B		02-12-2023
Spezia	0-1 (HT 0-0)	Parma
Italy Serie A		27-02-2021
Spezia	2-2 (HT 0-2)	Parma
Italy Serie A		25-10-2020
Parma	2-2 (HT 1-2)	Spezia