Football Prediction: IF Elfsborg vs Malmo FF

IF Elfsborg vs Malmo FF

H2H, Stats & Predictions

Venue: Borås Arena

1.73
L L L D W W

SCHEDULED -

1.20

D W D W W L

Kick Off: 14-09-2025 17:30 h. Mathematical Predictions: Over 2.5 Home WIN

IF Elfsborg and Malmo FF face each other in the Sweden Allsvenskan match on Sunday 14th of September 2025. In the last five head-to-head matches the home team scored average of 1.60 goals, while the away team scored average of 1.20 goals. See the full head-to-head statistics in the table below.

In the last 10 matches IF Elfsborg have scored an average of 2.10 goals and conceded average of 2.10 goals while Malmo FF scored 1.39 goals and conceded 1.51 goals.

Poisson distribution algorithm

We use Poisson distribution algorithm that expresses the probability of a given number of goals (2.5) occurring in football matches. The formula takes the expected average number of goals for home and away team, and calculates percentage probability of the prediction on the website.

Most probable outcome for IF Elfsborg vs Malmo FF is:

Over 2.5 goals with a probability of 56.27%

Head to Head Record - IF Elfsborg vs. Malmo FF

Date	Competition	Match
14-09-2025	Sweden Allsvenskan 2025	IF Elfsborg	- (HT -)	Malmo FF
07-04-2025	Sweden Allsvenskan 2025	Malmo FF	2-1 (HT 0-0)	IF Elfsborg
28-05-2024	Sweden Allsvenskan 2024	Malmo FF	2-1 (HT 1-1)	IF Elfsborg
05-05-2024	Sweden Allsvenskan 2024	IF Elfsborg	3-1 (HT 1-0)	Malmo FF
12-11-2023	Sweden Allsvenskan 2023	Malmo FF	1-0 (HT 0-0)	IF elfsborg
28-05-2023	Sweden Allsvenskan 2023	IF elfsborg	3-0 (HT 2-0)	Malmo FF

Competition		Date
Sweden Allsvenskan		14-09-2025
IF Elfsborg	- (HT -)	Malmo FF
Sweden Allsvenskan		07-04-2025
Malmo FF	2-1 (HT 0-0)	IF Elfsborg
Sweden Allsvenskan		28-05-2024
Malmo FF	2-1 (HT 1-1)	IF Elfsborg
Sweden Allsvenskan		05-05-2024
IF Elfsborg	3-1 (HT 1-0)	Malmo FF
Sweden Allsvenskan		12-11-2023
Malmo FF	1-0 (HT 0-0)	IF elfsborg
Sweden Allsvenskan		28-05-2023
IF elfsborg	3-0 (HT 2-0)	Malmo FF