Malmo FF vs IFK Varnamo

H2H, Stats & Predictions

Venue: Eleda Stadion

1.96
D W L L W L

Full Time 3-2

1.06

D W L L L L

Kick Off: 28-09-2025 16:30 h. Mathematical Predictions: Over 2.5 and Home WIN

Malmo FF and IFK Varnamo face each other in the Sweden Allsvenskan match on Sunday 28th of September 2025. The two teams have met 6 times in head-to-head matches. The home team scored average of 2.67 goals, while the away team scored average of 1.17 goals. See the full head-to-head statistics in the table below.

In the last 10 matches Malmo FF have scored an average of 1.85 goals and conceded average of 1.85 goals while IFK Varnamo scored 1.26 goals and conceded 1.43 goals.

Poisson distribution algorithm

We use Poisson distribution algorithm that expresses the probability of a given number of goals (2.5) occurring in football matches. The formula takes the expected average number of goals for home and away team, and calculates percentage probability of the prediction on the website.

Most probable outcome for Malmo FF vs IFK Varnamo is:

Over 2.5 goals with a probability of 58.07%

Head to Head Record - Malmo FF vs. IFK Varnamo

Date	Competition	Match
28-09-2025	Sweden Allsvenskan 2025	Malmo FF	3-2 (HT 1-1)	IFK Varnamo
15-05-2025	Sweden Allsvenskan 2025	IFK Varnamo	2-2 (HT 1-2)	Malmo FF
06-10-2024	Sweden Allsvenskan 2024	Malmo FF	1-1 (HT 0-0)	IFK Varnamo
15-04-2024	Sweden Allsvenskan 2024	IFK Varnamo	0-4 (HT 0-2)	Malmo FF
31-07-2023	Sweden Allsvenskan 2023	Malmo FF	3-1 (HT 1-1)	IFK Varnamo
10-06-2023	Sweden Allsvenskan 2023	IFK Varnamo	1-3 (HT 1-1)	Malmo FF

Competition		Date
Sweden Allsvenskan		28-09-2025
Malmo FF	3-2 (HT 1-1)	IFK Varnamo
Sweden Allsvenskan		15-05-2025
IFK Varnamo	2-2 (HT 1-2)	Malmo FF
Sweden Allsvenskan		06-10-2024
Malmo FF	1-1 (HT 0-0)	IFK Varnamo
Sweden Allsvenskan		15-04-2024
IFK Varnamo	0-4 (HT 0-2)	Malmo FF
Sweden Allsvenskan		31-07-2023
Malmo FF	3-1 (HT 1-1)	IFK Varnamo
Sweden Allsvenskan		10-06-2023
IFK Varnamo	1-3 (HT 1-1)	Malmo FF

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