Football Prediction: Chicago Fire vs St. Louis City

Chicago Fire vs St. Louis City

H2H, Stats & Predictions

Venue: Soldier Field

1.41
W W D L L W

SCHEDULED -

0.86

L L W L L L

Kick Off: 17-08-2025 02:30 h. Mathematical Predictions: Under 2.5 DRAW

Chicago Fire and St. Louis City face each other in the USA Major League Soccer match on Sunday 17th of August 2025. In the last five head-to-head matches the home team scored average of 1.00 goals, while the away team scored average of 0.00 goals. See the full head-to-head statistics in the table below.

In the last 10 matches Chicago Fire have scored an average of 1.23 goals and conceded average of 1.23 goals while St. Louis City scored 1.23 goals and conceded 2.00 goals.

Poisson distribution algorithm

We use Poisson distribution algorithm that expresses the probability of a given number of goals (2.5) occurring in football matches. The formula takes the expected average number of goals for home and away team, and calculates percentage probability of the prediction on the website.

Most probable outcome for Chicago Fire vs St. Louis City is:

Under 2.5 goals with a probability of 60.36%

Head to Head Record - Chicago Fire vs. St. Louis City

Date	Competition	Match
17-08-2025	USA Major League Soccer 2025	Chicago Fire	- (HT -)	St. Louis City
12-05-2024	USA Major League Soccer 2024	St. Louis City	3-1 (HT 1-0)	Chicago Fire
13-05-2023	USA Major League Soccer 2023	Chicago Fire	1-0 (HT 1-0)	St. Louis City

Competition		Date
USA Major League Soccer		17-08-2025
Chicago Fire	- (HT -)	St. Louis City
USA Major League Soccer		12-05-2024
St. Louis City	3-1 (HT 1-0)	Chicago Fire
USA Major League Soccer		13-05-2023
Chicago Fire	1-0 (HT 1-0)	St. Louis City