Football Prediction: Argentina vs Ecuador

Argentina vs Ecuador

H2H, Stats & Predictions

Venue: NRG Stadium

1.28
W L W D L W

PEN 1-1

0.39

W W D D W L

Kick Off: 05-07-2024 01:00 h. Mathematical Predictions: Under 2.5 Home WIN

Argentina and Ecuador face each other in the World Copa America match on Friday 5th of July 2024. In the last five head-to-head matches the home team scored average of 2.00 goals, while the away team scored average of 0.00 goals. See the full head-to-head statistics in the table below.

In the last 10 matches Argentina have scored an average of 1.33 goals and conceded average of 1.33 goals while Ecuador scored 0.83 goals and conceded 0.50 goals.

Poisson distribution algorithm

We use Poisson distribution algorithm that expresses the probability of a given number of goals (2.5) occurring in football matches. The formula takes the expected average number of goals for home and away team, and calculates percentage probability of the prediction on the website.

Most probable outcome for Argentina vs Ecuador is:

Under 2.5 goals with a probability of 76.60%

Head to Head Record - Argentina vs. Ecuador

Date	Competition	Match
14-09-2025	World World Cup - Qualification South America 2026	Ecuador	- (HT -)	Argentina
05-07-2024	World Copa America 2024	Argentina	1-1 (HT 1-0)	Ecuador
08-09-2023	World World Cup - Qualification South America 2026	Argentina	1-0 (HT 0-0)	Ecuador
04-07-2021	World Copa America 2021	Argentina	3-0 (HT 1-0)	Ecuador

Competition		Date
World World Cup - Qualification South America		14-09-2025
Ecuador	- (HT -)	Argentina
World Copa America		05-07-2024
Argentina	1-1 (HT 1-0)	Ecuador
World World Cup - Qualification South America		08-09-2023
Argentina	1-0 (HT 0-0)	Ecuador
World Copa America		04-07-2021
Argentina	3-0 (HT 1-0)	Ecuador