Football Prediction: Libertad Asuncion vs Alianza Lima

Libertad Asuncion vs Alianza Lima

H2H, Stats & Predictions

Venue: Estadio Tigo La Huerta

1.58
D D D L W W

Full Time 2-2

1.34

D L L W D L

Kick Off: 28-05-2025 00:00 h. Mathematical Predictions: Over 2.5 Home WIN

Libertad Asuncion and Alianza Lima face each other in the World CONMEBOL Libertadores match on Wednesday 28th of May 2025. In the last five head-to-head matches the home team scored average of 1.00 goals, while the away team scored average of 2.00 goals. See the full head-to-head statistics in the table below.

In the last 10 matches Libertad Asuncion have scored an average of 1.58 goals and conceded average of 1.58 goals while Alianza Lima scored 0.93 goals and conceded 2.14 goals.

Poisson distribution algorithm

We use Poisson distribution algorithm that expresses the probability of a given number of goals (2.5) occurring in football matches. The formula takes the expected average number of goals for home and away team, and calculates percentage probability of the prediction on the website.

Most probable outcome for Libertad Asuncion vs Alianza Lima is:

Over 2.5 goals with a probability of 55.70%

Head to Head Record - Libertad Asuncion vs. Alianza Lima

Date	Competition	Match
28-05-2025	World CONMEBOL Libertadores 2025	Libertad Asuncion	2-2 (HT 1-2)	Alianza Lima
02-04-2025	World CONMEBOL Libertadores 2025	Alianza Lima	0-1 (HT 0-0)	Libertad Asuncion
24-05-2023	World CONMEBOL Libertadores 2023	Alianza Lima	1-2 (HT 0-1)	Libertad Asuncion
21-04-2023	World CONMEBOL Libertadores 2023	Libertad Asuncion	1-2 (HT 0-0)	Alianza Lima

Competition		Date
World CONMEBOL Libertadores		28-05-2025
Libertad Asuncion	2-2 (HT 1-2)	Alianza Lima
World CONMEBOL Libertadores		02-04-2025
Alianza Lima	0-1 (HT 0-0)	Libertad Asuncion
World CONMEBOL Libertadores		24-05-2023
Alianza Lima	1-2 (HT 0-1)	Libertad Asuncion
World CONMEBOL Libertadores		21-04-2023
Libertad Asuncion	1-2 (HT 0-0)	Alianza Lima