Football Prediction: Belgium vs Italy | World UEFA Nations League

Belgium vs Italy

H2H, Stats & Predictions

Venue:

1.41
L L L D L W

Full Time 0-1

1.51

L W W D W W

Kick Off: 14-11-2024 20:45 h. Mathematical Predictions: Over 2.5 Away WIN

Belgium and Italy face each other in the World UEFA Nations League match on Thursday 14th of November 2024. In the last five head-to-head matches the home team scored average of 0.50 goals, while the away team scored average of 2.00 goals. See the full head-to-head statistics in the table below.

In the last 10 matches Belgium have scored an average of 2.78 goals and conceded average of 2.78 goals while Italy scored 1.52 goals and conceded 0.94 goals.

Poisson distribution algorithm

We use Poisson distribution algorithm that expresses the probability of a given number of goals (2.5) occurring in football matches. The formula takes the expected average number of goals for home and away team, and calculates percentage probability of the prediction on the website.

Most probable outcome for Belgium vs Italy is:

Over 2.5 goals with a probability of 55.67%

Head to Head Record - Belgium vs. Italy

Date	Competition	Match
14-11-2024	World UEFA Nations League 2024	Belgium	0-1 (HT 0-1)	Italy
10-10-2024	World UEFA Nations League 2024	Italy	2-2 (HT 2-1)	Belgium
10-10-2021	World UEFA Nations League 2020	Italy	2-1 (HT 0-0)	Belgium
02-07-2021	World Euro Championship 2020	Belgium	1-2 (HT 1-2)	Italy
13-06-2016	World Euro Championship 2016	Belgium	0-2 (HT 0-1)	Italy

Competition		Date
World UEFA Nations League		14-11-2024
Belgium	0-1 (HT 0-1)	Italy
World UEFA Nations League		10-10-2024
Italy	2-2 (HT 2-1)	Belgium
World UEFA Nations League		10-10-2021
Italy	2-1 (HT 0-0)	Belgium
World Euro Championship		02-07-2021
Belgium	1-2 (HT 1-2)	Italy
World Euro Championship		13-06-2016
Belgium	0-2 (HT 0-1)	Italy