Football Prediction: Italy vs Germany | World UEFA Nations League

Italy vs Germany

H2H, Stats & Predictions

Venue:

1.42
L W W D W W

SCHEDULED -

1.09

D W W W D W

Kick Off: 20-03-2025 01:00 h. Mathematical Predictions: Under 2.5 DRAW

Italy and Germany face each other in the World UEFA Nations League match on Thursday 20th of March 2025. In the last five head-to-head matches the home team scored average of 1.00 goals, while the away team scored average of 1.00 goals. See the full head-to-head statistics in the table below.

In the last 10 matches Italy have scored an average of 1.83 goals and conceded average of 1.83 goals while Germany scored 1.54 goals and conceded 1.42 goals.

Poisson distribution algorithm

We use Poisson distribution algorithm that expresses the probability of a given number of goals (2.5) occurring in football matches. The formula takes the expected average number of goals for home and away team, and calculates percentage probability of the prediction on the website.

Most probable outcome for Italy vs Germany is:

Under 2.5 goals with a probability of 54.14%

Head to Head Record - Italy vs. Germany

Date	Competition	Match
23-03-2025	World UEFA Nations League 2024	Germany	- (HT -)	Italy
20-03-2025	World UEFA Nations League 2024	Italy	- (HT -)	Germany
14-06-2022	World UEFA Nations League 2022	Germany	5-2 (HT 2-0)	Italy
04-06-2022	World UEFA Nations League 2022	Italy	1-1 (HT 0-0)	Germany
02-07-2016	World Euro Championship 2016	Germany	1-1 (HT 0-0)	Italy
28-06-2012	World Euro Championship 2012	Germany	1-2 (HT 0-2)	Italy

Competition		Date
World UEFA Nations League		23-03-2025
Germany	- (HT -)	Italy
World UEFA Nations League		20-03-2025
Italy	- (HT -)	Germany
World UEFA Nations League		14-06-2022
Germany	5-2 (HT 2-0)	Italy
World UEFA Nations League		04-06-2022
Italy	1-1 (HT 0-0)	Germany
World Euro Championship		02-07-2016
Germany	1-1 (HT 0-0)	Italy
World Euro Championship		28-06-2012
Germany	1-2 (HT 0-2)	Italy