Football Prediction: Spain vs France | World UEFA Nations League

Spain vs France

H2H, Stats & Predictions

Venue: MHPArena

1.72
D D W W W W

SCHEDULED -

0.95

W L W D W W

Kick Off: 05-06-2025 20:45 h. Mathematical Predictions: Under 2.5 Home WIN

Spain and France face each other in the World UEFA Nations League match on Thursday 5th of June 2025. In the last five head-to-head matches the home team scored average of 1.67 goals, while the away team scored average of 1.00 goals. See the full head-to-head statistics in the table below.

In the last 10 matches Spain have scored an average of 2.54 goals and conceded average of 2.54 goals while France scored 1.24 goals and conceded 0.94 goals.

Poisson distribution algorithm

We use Poisson distribution algorithm that expresses the probability of a given number of goals (2.5) occurring in football matches. The formula takes the expected average number of goals for home and away team, and calculates percentage probability of the prediction on the website.

Most probable outcome for Spain vs France is:

Under 2.5 goals with a probability of 50.25%

Head to Head Record - Spain vs. France

Date	Competition	Match
05-06-2025	World UEFA Nations League 2024	Spain	- (HT -)	France
09-07-2024	World Euro Championship 2024	Spain	2-1 (HT 2-1)	France
10-10-2021	World UEFA Nations League 2020	Spain	1-2 (HT 0-0)	France
23-06-2012	World Euro Championship 2012	Spain	2-0 (HT 1-0)	France

Competition		Date
World UEFA Nations League		05-06-2025
Spain	- (HT -)	France
World Euro Championship		09-07-2024
Spain	2-1 (HT 2-1)	France
World UEFA Nations League		10-10-2021
Spain	1-2 (HT 0-0)	France
World Euro Championship		23-06-2012
Spain	2-0 (HT 1-0)	France